Great analysis.

I thought Mr. Trump’s primary run was just a lark to get his name in the media: Have a third place finish, then go back to business.

When he was at the top of the R pack — and seemed to have found some resonance with the public, he was probably just as surprised as everyone else.

I thought he could win the presidency, and it would be a coin flip. One or two blips a few days before the election could tilt the outcome one way or the other.

The real question that should be asked for 2020 is: “How many of that 50% of Americans do not normally vote will come to the polls?” Judging from 2018, I would say “not many.” Coin flip!