I did some quick Wiki research about its recent gubernatorial election.
Alabama has 5.04 million people. African-Americans amount to 25% of the population, which means 1.26 m Blacks.
On November 8:
- 0.94m Alabamans voted for the Republican candidate.
- 0.41m Alabamans voted for the Democratic candidate.
The wiki articles did not specify the total eligibly voters. I will assume 1.5m were too young to vote. This leaves 3.5m voters; now the Black vote is reduced to 0.94m voters.
According to the 2018 election, the Democrats garnered 0.69m votes. Let’s assume the difference was because of new voter suppression laws. 0.69m –0.41m = 0.28m could no longer vote. This reduces the eligible Black vote to 0.94m — 0.28m = 0.64m votes.
With a voter turnout of only 27% (1.35 / 3.5), this means 0.46m (0.64m x 0.73) of eligible Blacks did not vote.
Add that 0.46m to 0.41m, we have a much closer race, albeit still a Republican victory. And this math fails to take into account the non-voters of the white population.
I realize my math is too simplified, but it still shows the citizens who usually don’t vote hold an immense power in their hands. If the Democrats cannot get this vote out, what are they doing wrong?
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Anyways, with my alternative democracy, all this math is no longer relevant.
