I'm watching the media for where the soft support voters are going. My Mastodon feed suggests more people are ensuring they are registered to vote than ever before. The D ground team seems to be working hard.

I'm giving a 1% chance of a legitimate Trump win and 50% chance of a D landslide. The other 49% is between these two points.

As for the TDG in the USA, its chances of success would be better with an R win. Maybe enough people will finally realize how broken their democracy is.