James
Fully understanding your time constraints.
The basic premise of my "polling" article is that the pollsters can harvest whatever they want from their marks, but it is difficult to determine if they will actually made the trip to the voting booth.
I don't anticipate that I will convince you of this, but other readers of your article might agree with me.
I try to do a political analysis based on how I see the soft support is motivated. The D's are going win on November 5.
But there's already too much violence. The USA may not be able to get this election off.