My crystal ball is trying to analyze the motivation of the soft support of the two parties. What is convincing to go to the polls? What is convincing them to stay away?

I've published about 20 Medium articles where soft support is a main topic. But Medium readers don't seem to appreciate this thought. The pundits on the TV political panels also do not talk much about soft support. Political junkies have a hard time with this concept.

Plus 78m Americans did not vote in 2020. At least 10m of them will vote this time, and it won't be for the R's.

The polls are saying 50/50. But I think the real result is at least 55/45 in favor of the D's. The news media can't release this information because many of soft D support will think the race is already won before Election day. They won't bother voting, which then means the USA is back to a 50/50 race. The drama of a tight race needs to be maintained, right up to Election day.

I can see Harris winning the EC by least 100 EC votes. There might even be rout with only a handful of states going R.

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Did you notice that polling numbers did not change when Biden dropped out and Harris quickly assumed the mantle?

Living in oligarchies is not fun. If an R oligarchy happens, most of us will learn how to keep our heads low. There will be some groups who will be unfairly persecuted (especially if their heads are not low).

In terms of historical oligarchies, the R's will be one of the most inept. Their rule won't last long.