What a lot of Medium political contributors and even talking heads on TV fail to realize is the difference between hard and soft support. Polling numbers just can't determine the motivation someone has to make a trip to the polls.

Here's the math: polls say Mr. Trump gets a 40% approval rating. 40% x 235m voters = 94 m votes. Mr. Trump didn't get this number in 2016. He won't get it in November. Mr. Trump has a lot of soft support that can be convinced their man is not worth the effort to vote.

Findings like this help out the anti-Trump. 100,000 votes here, 200,000 votes there. These votes are not going towards Mr. Trump anymore--which is almost as good as a vote for Mr. Biden.

And there were 108 million people who didn't vote last time. If just 10% of them can be convinced to cast an anti-Trump vote, it is game over for a T victory.

But there will be a lot drama between Nov 3 and Jan 20 for sure.

If we don't like the fruits of this system, we should start thinking about another system.